GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union Magdalena are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orsomarso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union MagdalenaLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OrsomarsoWDDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Union MagdalenaOrsomarso
50.7Attack27.5
71.0Defence66.7
60.9Form41.2
62.0Power47.2
1.14xG0.42
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