Union Magdalenavs
Orsomarso
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Magdalena are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orsomarso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Magdalena
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00