GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union Magdalena are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leones FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

21.8%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union MagdalenaLDLDD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Leones FCWDWDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Union MagdalenaLeones FC
50.7Attack20.4
71.0Defence53.7
60.9Form31.5
62.0Power38.3
1.62xG0.36
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