GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 5/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Magdalena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bogota FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union MagdalenaDWLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bogota FCLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Union MagdalenaBogota FC
50.7Attack27.8
71.0Defence68.1
60.9Form41.7
62.0Power48.5
1.08xG0.42
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