GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palestino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union La Calera are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Palestino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palestino

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union La CaleraLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PalestinoLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Union La CaleraPalestino
37.0Attack48.1
44.4Defence51.9
35.2Form50.0
40.8Power51.2
1.11xG1.51
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