GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 4/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coquimbo Unido · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union La Calera are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Primera División, while Coquimbo Unido holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Coquimbo Unido

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union La CaleraWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Coquimbo UnidoDWDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Union La CaleraCoquimbo Unido
37.0Attack47.1
44.4Defence58.8
35.2Form49.0
40.8Power53.3
0.95xG1.49
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