GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union La Calera · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union La Calera are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cobresal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union La Calera hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Primera División, while Union La Calera holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union La Calera

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Union La Calera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union La CaleraWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CobresalWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Union La CaleraCobresal
37.0Attack44.4
44.4Defence31.5
35.2Form25.9
40.8Power36.0
1.66xG1.33
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