GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Union Espanola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos de Arica

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

16.4%

San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union EspanolaLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
San Marcos de AricaDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Union EspanolaSan Marcos de Arica
46.3Attack42.6
51.9Defence75.9
46.3Form55.6
50.2Power59.7
0.74xG1.15
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