Union Espanolavs
San Marcos de Arica
SCHEDULEDChile · Primera B · 8/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Union Espanola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Marcos de Arica
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
16.4%
San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40