GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 2/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Espanola · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Union Espanola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Recoleta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Recoleta hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (36.3 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Copa Chile, while Union Espanola holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Espanola

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union EspanolaWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RecoletaLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union EspanolaRecoleta
26.7Attack33.3
46.7Defence46.7
26.7Form33.3
36.3Power40.6
1.34xG1.25
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