GGOALVIO

Peru · Copa De La Liga · 6/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Comercio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Union Comercio are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Comerciantes are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Copa De La Liga, while Union Comercio holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Comercio

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

14.8%

Union Comercio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union ComercioWWWDD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ComerciantesDDWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union ComercioComerciantes
33.3Attack16.7
55.6Defence83.3
33.3Form41.7
42.2Power50.3
1.08xG1.04
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