GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 8/7/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Comercio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Union Comercio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Academia Cantolao are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and union Comercio hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring Union Comercio with 18.9% confidence, a 28% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Comercio

Probability

75.5%

Model confidence

18.9%

Union Comercio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union ComercioDLLWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Academia CantolaoDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Union ComercioAcademia Cantolao
40.0Attack30.3
93.3Defence30.3
70.0Form18.2
68.5Power28.0
2.02xG0.38
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