GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Union Berlin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ipswich are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ipswich holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ipswich

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

10.6%

Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union BerlinWWDLL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
IpswichWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Union BerlinIpswich
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power50.0
1.65xG1.79
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