GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Berlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Union Berlin are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cagliari are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.4 against 49.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Union Berlin holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Berlin

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Union Berlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union BerlinLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CagliariWDWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union BerlinCagliari
83.3Attack55.6
36.7Defence44.4
40.0Form44.4
49.4Power49.5
2.96xG1.93
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