União São Joãovs
Comercial
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
União São João are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Comercial are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and união São João hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 31.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Copa Paulista, favouring a draw with 29.2% confidence, a 17% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
29.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40