União Santarémvs
Oliveirense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/14/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
União Santarém · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
União Santarém are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oliveirense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and União Santarém hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Liga 3, while União Santarém holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
União Santarém
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
17.5%
União Santarém has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60