GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

União Rondonópolis are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ceilândia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceilândia hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

União RondonópolisWDLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CeilândiaLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
União RondonópolisCeilândia
36.7Attack30.6
40.0Defence63.9
30.0Form36.1
38.3Power46.5
0.83xG1.02
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