União Rondonópolisvs
Ceilândia
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
União Rondonópolis are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ceilândia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceilândia hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00