Unión Santa Fe Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 7/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Unión Santa Fe Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Santa Fe Res. hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00