Unia Swarzędzvs
Pogoń Mogilno
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unia Swarzędz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Unia Swarzędz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Pogoń Mogilno are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 4.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Swarzędz hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Unia Swarzędz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Unia Swarzędz
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Unia Swarzędz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.67/4.33