GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Swarzędz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Unia Swarzędz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Noteć Czarnków are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Swarzędz hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Unia Swarzędz holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Swarzędz

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

9.2%

Unia Swarzędz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SwarzędzLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Noteć CzarnkówLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SwarzędzNoteć Czarnków
56.9Attack59.8
53.9Defence37.3
53.9Form44.1
56.1Power46.4
2.38xG1.48
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