GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Arka Gdynia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Arka Gdynia hold a 71.3-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 92.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the I Liga, while Arka Gdynia holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arka Gdynia

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

11.3%

Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceDLLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Arka GdyniaWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceArka Gdynia
33.3Attack83.3
16.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power92.8
1.12xG1.95
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