Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uni Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Uni Minsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Orsha are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orsha hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the 1. Division, while Uni Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uni Minsk
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
14.5%
Uni Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80