Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Uni Minsk are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Niva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60