UNAN Managuavs
Jalapa
SCHEDULEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 8/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNAN Managua · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
UNAN Managua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Jalapa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UNAN Managua hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Primera Division, while UNAN Managua holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UNAN Managua
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
13.7%
UNAN Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60