UN Kaerjeng 97vs
US Hostert
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
UN Kaerjeng 97 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while US Hostert are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and US Hostert hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National Division, favouring a draw with 11.5% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.7%
Model confidence
11.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60