Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Šumperk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nové Sady are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 70.2-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40