UMECITvs
CD Olimpia
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
UMECIT are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CD Olimpia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Olimpia hold a 59.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, favouring a draw with 12.6% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.5%
Model confidence
12.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20