UMECITvs
Alianza FC
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 4/4/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
UMECIT are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alianza FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza FC hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80