Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gottne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Umea FF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gottne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gottne hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Gottne holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gottne
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Gottne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80