Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Umea FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Umea FF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fransta are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Umea FF hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Umea FF holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Umea FF
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
6.9%
Umea FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.75