Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Umeå W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Umeå W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jitex W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Umeå W hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Elitettan, while Umeå W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Umeå W
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
6.7%
Umeå W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40