GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Umeå FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Umeå FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while IFK Östersund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Östersund hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Umeå FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Umeå FC

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Umeå FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Umeå FCLLLWW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IFK ÖstersundLWWLW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Umeå FCIFK Östersund
33.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence33.3
16.7Form16.7
26.2Power31.3
1.79xG1.66
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