Ulytauvs
Yelimay Semey
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 5/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ulytau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40