Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Ulytau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ordabasy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60