Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ulytau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kaspiy are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40