Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ulytau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kaisar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00