Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ulytau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Irtysh are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00