Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Ulytau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Astana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40