GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 8/8/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South East Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Ulverstone are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while South East Utd. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and south East Utd. hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely result in the Tasmania NPL, favouring South East Utd. with 7.0% confidence, a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South East Utd.

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

7.0%

South East Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
South East Utd.WWLWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UlverstoneSouth East Utd.
27.8Attack48.1
0.0Defence5.6
7.4Form38.9
15.3Power32.7
1.96xG2.88
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