GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/29/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Riverside are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

74.7%

Model confidence

74.7%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneDLLWW

GF 22 · GA 15 · avg 4.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RiversideWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneRiverside
27.8Attack57.4
0.0Defence38.9
7.4Form44.4
15.3Power46.3
1.23xG3.54
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