Ulverstonevs
Riverside
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 3/29/2026, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Ulverstone are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Riverside are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riverside
Probability
74.7%
Model confidence
74.7%
Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 15 · avg 4.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40