GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/22/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Launceston United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston United hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneLLWWL

GF 21 · GA 15 · avg 4.20/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston UnitedLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 24 · avg 0.80/4.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
UlverstoneLaunceston United
27.8Attack31.5
0.0Defence0.0
7.4Form9.3
15.3Power17.5
2.09xG1.80
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