GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/19/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Glenorchy Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Glenorchy Knights hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Tasmania NPL, while Glenorchy Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Glenorchy Knights

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

61.4%

Glenorchy Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy KnightsLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UlverstoneGlenorchy Knights
27.8Attack42.6
0.0Defence38.9
7.4Form31.5
15.3Power39.0
1.26xG2.56
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