Ulverstonevs
Clarence Zebras
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 5/10/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Clarence Zebras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Ulverstone are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Clarence Zebras are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.8% in the Tasmania NPL, while Clarence Zebras holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Clarence Zebras
Probability
76.8%
Model confidence
76.8%
Clarence Zebras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20