GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/31/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Ulverstone U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 6.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone U21

Probability

86.5%

Model confidence

86.5%

Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulverstone U21LWLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Launceston United U21LLDLL

GF 5 · GA 32 · avg 1.00/6.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ulverstone U21Launceston United U21
83.3Attack28.1
42.6Defence0.0
61.1Form14.0
60.4Power15.8
4.50xG0.96
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