GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Siheung Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ulsan Citizen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Siheung Citizen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Siheung Citizen hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the K3 League, while Siheung Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Siheung Citizen

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Siheung Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulsan CitizenLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Siheung CitizenDWWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ulsan CitizenSiheung Citizen
33.3Attack44.0
52.2Defence56.0
37.8Form46.4
43.5Power51.2
0.92xG1.18
View match centre →