GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulsan Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ulsan Citizen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pocheon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulsan Citizen hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the K3 League, while Ulsan Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulsan Citizen

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Ulsan Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulsan CitizenLDLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PocheonWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ulsan CitizenPocheon
33.3Attack37.8
52.2Defence45.6
37.8Form28.9
43.5Power39.8
1.18xG0.97
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