Ulsan Citizenvs
Daejeon Korail
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 5/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ulsan Citizen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Daejeon Korail are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Daejeon Korail hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60