Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grorud · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Ull/Kisa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Grorud are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Grorud hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (24.4 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Grorud holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grorud
Probability
75.6%
Model confidence
75.6%
Grorud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20