Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skjetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Ulfstind are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Skjetten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Skjetten hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 5, while Skjetten holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skjetten
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
8.3%
Skjetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80