Ujpestvs
MTK Budapest
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 8/15/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ujpest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ujpest are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while MTK Budapest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ujpest hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the NB I, while Ujpest holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ujpest
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
8.1%
Ujpest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40