GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FSV Mainz 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Udinese are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FSV Mainz 05 are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FSV Mainz 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FSV Mainz 05

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

9.7%

FSV Mainz 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UdineseLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FSV Mainz 05WWWWW

GF 29 · GA 1 · avg 5.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
UdineseFSV Mainz 05
55.6Attack88.9
55.6Defence61.1
50.0Form66.7
54.8Power67.4
1.55xG2.07
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