UCVvs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
UCV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20